Stock Article

NFLX,The Dip Worth Seizing?

Prepared by: Kalyaa Pradeep for TheoryOfStocks on May 04, 2024

Stock Information

Company Name Netflix Inc
Symbol NFLX
Market Cap $243.52B

Netflix Inc

Netflix, Inc. is an American over-the-top content platform and production company headquartered in Los Gatos, California. Netflix was founded in 1997 by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph in Scotts Valley, California. The company's primary business is a subscription-based streaming service offering online streaming from a library of films and television series, including those produced in-house.. This belongs to TRADE & SERVICES sector & classified under SERVICES-VIDEO TAPE RENTAL industry

Analysis for Netflix Inc

Our Approach

Our proprietary analysis employs a weighted average approach integrating both functional and technical parameters, tailored to the sector, industry, and microeconomic factors. This methodology assigns dynamic weights to the parameters, with a focus on recent trends, ensuring a nuanced evaluation for informed investment decisions

Price & EPS

Price Chart For NFLX

Based on the monthly price movement data for Netflix (NFLX) over the last 12 months, the stock has exhibited volatility but generally trended upward from around $438 in July 2023 to $579 by May 2024. Despite fluctuations, there's a visible upward trajectory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 54.76 indicates a balanced momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. However, the stock is currently below its 50-day moving average, suggesting short-term weakness, although it remains above its 200-day moving average, indicating a positive long-term trend. Support around $377 and resistance around $602 are notable levels.

Revenue & Profit

Financial Performance

Based on the provided financial data, the company demonstrates a positive financial trajectory. Revenue has steadily increased over the past few years, accompanied by a rise in gross profit, indicating effective revenue generation after accounting for costs. Although the cost of revenue has also grown, it hasn't outpaced revenue growth significantly, suggesting that the company is managing its costs efficiently. Moreover, the company's total debt has remained stable or slightly decreased, while the end cash position has fluctuated but generally remained at a reasonable level, indicating sufficient liquidity. Additionally, the increasing trend in earnings per share (EPS) highlights improving profitability on a per-share basis, which is favorable for investors. Overall, these indicators suggest that the company has a solid financial foundation and is well-positioned for continued growth and profitability.

Other Aspects

The price-to-book ratio (P/B) of 13.09 suggests that the market values the company significantly higher than its book value, indicating potential investor optimism or high expectations for future growth. Similarly, the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 39.19 indicates that investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's earnings, possibly due to expectations of strong future performance. Turning to the quarterly financial data provided, the company has shown consistent growth in revenue over the quarters, with the most recent quarter reaching $9,370 million. Despite fluctuations, the gross profit has generally increased, reflecting the company's ability to maintain profitability. Additionally, while the total debt has remained relatively stable, the end cash position has fluctuated, indicating potential variability in liquidity. Overall, the company demonstrates growth potential, but it's crucial to monitor its ability to manage costs and maintain liquidity amidst changing market conditions. Increase FCF is also a plus. NFLX pays no dividend and the Beta is 1.218. Proprietary Buy/Sell analysis is 14.13. Above 70 and below 30 represents an overbought and oversold conditions.

Conclusion: Buy

Netflix anticipates next quarter earnings to be around $4.68 per share, with revenue projected at approximately $9.49 billion. This forecast falls slightly short of the current consensus estimate of $4.53 per share on revenue of $9.53 billion for the quarter ending June 30, 2024. However, the new estimate reflects a notable 13% increase compared to the earnings in the second quarter of the previous year. Taking into account these projections, alongside various derived parameters of the stock, industry dynamics, and macroeconomic conditions, our proprietary Weighted Average AI model assigns a rank of 2, indicating a Buy. While there may be a slight possibility of the stock experiencing a temporary dip in the near term, our analysis suggests strong potential for upward movement, barring any unforeseen factors. At the time of writing this article, Netflix stock price is around $580. A Dip Worth Seizing!!

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