Stock Article

Where is TSLA Heading?

Prepared by: Kalyaa Pradeep for TheoryOfStocks, on May 04, 2024

Stock Information

Company Name Tesla Inc
Symbol TSLA
Market Cap $577.85B

Tesla Inc

Tesla, Inc. is an American electric vehicle and clean energy company based in Palo Alto, California. Tesla's current products include electric cars, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, as well as other related products and services. In 2020, Tesla had the highest sales in the plug-in and battery electric passenger car segments, capturing 16% of the plug-in market (which includes plug-in hybrids) and 23% of the battery-electric (purely electric) market. Through its subsidiary Tesla Energy, the company develops and is a major installer of solar photovoltaic energy generation systems in the United States. Tesla Energy is also one of the largest global suppliers of battery energy storage systems, with 3 GWh of battery storage supplied in 2020.. This belongs to MANUFACTURING sector & classified under MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES industry

Analysis for Tesla Inc

Our Approach

Our proprietary analysis employs a weighted average approach integrating both functional and technical parameters, tailored to the sector, industry, and microeconomic factors. This methodology assigns dynamic weights to the parameters, with a focus on recent trends, ensuring a nuanced evaluation for informed investment decisions

Price & EPS

Price Chart For TSLA

Analyzing the provided monthly price movement data alongside additional indicators, the stock's trajectory reveals notable fluctuations over the given period. Starting at $267.43 in July 2023, it underwent a gradual decline to $200.84 by October 2023 before experiencing a partial recovery. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 40.15 indicates a neutral momentum, while the stock's current position above its 50-day moving average signals short-term strength. However, the stock remains below its 200-day moving average, reflecting a bearish long-term trend. Additionally, the stock's recovery from the 52-week low that occurred in April 2024 suggests a potential shift in sentiment and possibly improved prospects, adding a layer of optimism amidst the broader volatility observed. TSLA’s 52-week high and low is at $299.29 and $138.8 respectively,

Revenue & Profit

Financial Performance

Analyzing the annual data, the company's financial strength appears to have improved significantly over the given time frame. Revenue has demonstrated a substantial upward trend, growing from $31.54 billion in 2020 to $96.77 billion in 2023. Similarly, gross profit has seen remarkable growth, rising from $6.63 billion in 2020 to $17.66 billion in 2023, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and potential economies of scale. The cost of revenue has also increased, but at a slower pace compared to revenue growth, maintaining healthy gross profit margins. Additionally, the company's total debt has remained relatively stable, which suggests prudent debt management practices. The end cash position has fluctuated but remained at a respectable level until the last quarter. Tesla is in the midst of the most profound realignment of priorities and strategy in the company's history and has tapped into its cash reserves with almost $5B in R&D and other components. Moreover, the earnings per share (EPS) have shown a consistent upward trend, except for the last last quarter.

Other Aspects

Based on the provided price-to-book ratio (P/B) of 8.7 and price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 46.34, it's evident that the market perceives the company as having significant growth potential and strong future earnings prospects. The high P/B ratio indicates that investors are willing to pay a substantial premium over the company's book value, implying expectations of future growth and profitability. Similarly, the elevated P/E ratio suggests that investors are optimistic about the company's future earnings potential, willing to pay a premium for its current earnings. However, it's crucial to note that TSLA pays no dividend, indicating that investors rely solely on capital appreciation for returns, which could amplify volatility. The Beta of 2.441 indicates high sensitivity to market movements, and the Proprietary Buy/Sell analysis of 41.98 suggests a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold.

Conclusion: Sell

Based on the recent earnings report indicating worse-than-expected first-quarter earnings and revenue, alongside Tesla's strategic shift towards focusing on inexpensive cars and full-self driving (FSD) technology, coupled with diminishing cash flow and end cash position, the company faces notable challenges within the competitive electric vehicle (EV) sector. Considering these factors alongside derived parameters of the stock, sector dynamics, and prevailing macroeconomic conditions, our proprietary Weighted Average AI model assigns a rank of 6, signaling a "Sell". At the time of writing this article TSLA, is around $181.19.

TheoryofStocks is not registered as an investment advisor with any regulatory authority. The information provided on this Website is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice

By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Please read our Disclaimer.

Contact @ This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

© 2024 Stock Articles. All rights reserved.