Stock Article

Exxon Mobil - Up/Down?

Prepared by: Kalyaa Pradeep for TheoryOfStocks, on May 06, 2024

Stock Information

Company Name Exxon Mobil Corp
Symbol XOM
Market Cap $523.60B

Exxon Mobil Corp

Exxon Mobil Corporation, stylized as ExxonMobil, is an American multinational oil and gas corporation headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is the largest direct descendant of John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil, and was formed on November 30, 1999 by the merger of Exxon (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New Jersey) and Mobil (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New York). ExxonMobil's primary brands are Exxon, Mobil, Esso, and ExxonMobil Chemical. ExxonMobil is incorporated in New Jersey.. This belongs to ENERGY & TRANSPORTATION sector & classified under PETROLEUM REFINING industry

Analysis for Exxon Mobil Corp

Our Approach

Our proprietary analysis employs a weighted average approach integrating both functional and technical parameters, tailored to the sector, industry, and microeconomic factors. This methodology assigns dynamic weights to the parameters, with a focus on recent trends, ensuring a nuanced evaluation for informed investment decisions

Price & EPS

Price Chart For XOM

Exxon Mobil (XOM) has demonstrated a resilient price movement over the past several months. Despite minor fluctuations, the stock has maintained an upward trajectory, bolstered by favorable indicators. Currently priced at $116.75 as of May 6, 2024, XOM has showcased a consistent climb from its recent low of $99.05 in December 2023. This positive momentum is reinforced by its Relative Strength Index (RSI) standing at 62.20, indicating healthy buying interest without reaching overbought levels. Moreover, trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages underscores the stock's strength and stability. While it's noteworthy that XOM is trading 4.45% below its 52-week high of $123.75, the recent one-month price change of 1.79% and the three-month increase of 13.73%. Despite the slight retreat from its peak, XOM's performance remains robust, supported by its position above key moving averages and a favorable RSI.

Revenue & Profit

Financial Performance

Examining Exxon Mobil's financials reveals a mixed picture of the company's fiscal health over the past four years. From 2020 to 2023, the company experienced significant fluctuations in revenue, with 2022 marking a substantial increase to $398.68 billion, followed by a decline to $334.7 billion in 2023. Correspondingly, the cost of revenue surged from $170.45 billion in 2020 to $295.61 billion in 2022, before dropping slightly to $250.56 billion in 2023. Despite these variations, the gross profit trend mirrored that of revenue, reaching its peak in 2022 at $103.07 billion. However, it fell to $84.14 billion in 2023. Examining the end cash position reveals a volatile pattern, with fluctuations from $4.36 billion in 2020 to $29.66 billion in 2022, before settling at $31.57 billion in 2023. Analyzing the company's earnings per share (EPS) provides additional insight into its financial performance. Despite negative EPS in 2020 (-$5.25), Exxon Mobil rebounded strongly in 2021, recording an EPS of $5.39. The subsequent years saw further improvement, with EPS peaking at $13.26 in 2022 before declining to $8.89 in 2023.

Other Aspects

Analyzing the quarterly data and the revenue trend, demonstrates good financial health with surplus cash.of Exxon Mobil. The P/B ratio indicates that Exxon Mobil's market value is approximately 2.326 times its book value. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's assets, which could reflect confidence in its long-term growth prospects and asset quality. Meanwhile, the P/E ratio of 14.23 signifies that investors are paying $14.23 for every dollar of earnings generated by the company. This metric is essential for evaluating the company's valuation relative to its earnings and industry peers. A P/E ratio of 14.23 indicates a moderate valuation, suggesting that the stock may not be excessively overvalued or undervalued.

Conclusion: Cautious Sell

Exxon Mobil's earnings report for the first quarter of 2024 has generated a negative sentiment surrounding the stock. Although the company reported earnings of $2.06 per share, an impressive figure, it fell short of the consensus earnings estimate of $2.19 per share. Looking ahead, analysts are currently forecasting an EPS of $2.31 for the upcoming quarter. However, this estimate may not be sufficient to drive significant upward momentum in the stock price from its current level. Taking into account the factors discussed, along with broader industry and economic conditions, our proprietary Weighted Average AI model has assigned ExxonMobil (XOM) a rank of 6. This indicates a Cautious Sell. At the time of writing this article XOM, is around $116.75.

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